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Gas in Transition (Oil) April 2022
Russia Wields Rouble Threat

AME forecasts that oil demand growth will remain strong and Brent crude oil will average US$100/bbl in the June quarter of 2022 as world oil supply tightens and production lags rising demand with inventories at multi-year lows.

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LNG April 2022
Teetering Dominos

AME’s Asian Composite LNG price forecast for the June quarter is US$28/MMBtu. AME sees the price remaining high through to the middle of the June quarter as European geopolitics disrupts the market.

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Oil Refineries March 2022
Market Tightens as Russia Invades

AME’s March and June quarter 2022 forecasts for the global average crack spread price are US$21/bbl and US$29/bbl, respectively. Despite the continuous rise in crude oil prices raising the input costs for refiners, the price of refined products has risen more, increasing the spread and beefing up the bottom line for refiners.

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Metallurgical Coal April 2022
Fuelled Prices

The Russia-Ukraine conflict is fuelling higher commodity prices, on the back of a tight market in Europe and Australia is expected to reap the benefits, with a massive surge in earnings from natural resources

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Thermal Coal April 2022
The Divine Right of Volatility

AME forecasts the Newcastle 6,300 spot price to average US$250/t in the June quarter of 2022. Europe’s need to secure energy supply could lead to a delay in coal plant closures and the temporary reopening of closed power plants.

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Iron Ore April 2022
China Stimulus Hopes

The conflict between Russia and Ukraine boosted iron ore prices in early March. Disruptions to iron ore exports from Russia and Ukraine have reportedly prompted some European buyers to seek cargoes from further afield, potentially tightening global supplies.

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Steel April 2022
Prices to Strengthen in Q2

Average steel prices increased in Europe in the March quarter due to rising energy costs, supply constraints, and the crisis in Ukraine.

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Copper April 2022
Renewed Disruptions

Copper prices briefly touched record highs in early March amid fears that sanctions imposed on Russia, after the escalated Russia-Ukraine conflict, could further tighten already-tight supply. Market sentiment has started to see calm return to some extent and copper prices have retreated but remain at a high level.

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Nickel April 2022
A Wild Ride

The nickel market was rocked to the core in March when a disruption to open trade took place. Prices surged to over US$100,000/t on the LME and trading was forced into suspension.

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Zinc April 2022
Record Price Highs… Again!

The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine has driven zinc prices to record highs which currently show no sign of slowing.

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Aluminium April 2022
The Flow Goes On

Record pricing levels for primary aluminium metal were not helped by Russia’s actions in Ukraine, however, with predominately individuals facing sanction, as opposed to companies’, commodity movements have continued, though uncertainty on future measures certainly remains.

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Gold April 2022
Gold Price to Remain Steady in Q2

Gold prices have been relatively steady despite all the predictions, and the slight upward trend continues—the inflation and the geopolitical tension after the Russian invasion of Ukraine play an essential role in the precious metal.

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